Incredibly difficult year. I do not envy the Selection Committee this season, including both selecting entrants and seeding. There is no definition anywhere, including at the 1 line. Kansas is the only guaranteed 1 seed.
Some other thoughts:
* There will be some disappointed fans in Lexington, Kentucky, as the UK Wildcats are just 2-2 against the top 50 versus 3 sub 100 losses (2 very questionable ones in Auburn and Tennessee.) If they get a 3 seed... that is generous.
* Part of the problem for UK was the SEC was terrible. South Carolina finished third in the conference... and played a grand total of TWO top 50 games (beat Texas A&M, lost to UK.) They did beat #54 Hofstra on a neutral court for their second best win. They are in deep trouble and I don't think they get in, unless the committee goes on blind conference affiliation and takes 3 from the SEC just because.
* There will be a referendum at the end of the bracket on mid-major versus "middling" major. I have in the past cited studies proving the mid-major is the correct choice as their performance in the Tournament is far superior to the middling majors. But realistically, there is no way to compare Florida and Michigan to Monmouth and Hofstra and St. Mary's. UF and UM had a combined 24 shots at top 50 wins and took down a combined 6 (25% winning percentage with half of those games at home). Monmouth, Hofstra, Valpo, and St. Mary's matched those 6 wins in 12 tries, with all but two of those games on the road. I hope the committee looks at the uphill road mid-majors face- zero chances at top wins at home, having to take buy games to fund the program, all kinds of landmine games in conference, etc. when making these final cuts, and the landmark it can provide for the programs. If Michigan plays in the First Four this year, nobody cares- it's already a lost year in Wolverine fans' eyes and it matters to nobody outside of Ann Arbor. If Hofstra gets an at-large bid, it validates the years of building the program and increases the profile significantly. VCU got a league upgrade off ONE (roundly criticized) shot at an at-large for god sakes. I'll go to my grave that in 2007 the snub of Drexel, with 4 top 50 ROAD wins and 13 total road wins, for Stanford was the one of the worst ever, especially since the CAA had proven its worth and then some the previous season. The team that knocked them out, VCU, beat Duke in the first round. Stanford promptly lost by 30.
I would really like to see all the top mid-major #1 seeds that lost in their conference tournament get in, including the #8 AAC (Temple), #9 CAA (Hofstra), #10 MAC (Akron), #12 MWC (SDSU), #14 WCC (St Mary's), #19 MAAC (Monmouth), and #20 Horizon (Valpo.) But realistically that won't happen. Of these, Temple, Hofstra, and Monmouth have the best pure resumes. I have a feeling SDSU and St. Mary's will be the ones that get in, however.
* NOTE: If Memphis wins tomorrow against UConn, Butler falls to the First Four and SDSU is out. If Little Rock loses, it is unlikely they will get in.
RPI | TEAM | CONF | SOS | NONCONF SOS | Record | Home | Road | Neutral | 1-50 | 51-100 | Top 100 | 101-200 | Top 200 | 200+ | Conf Leader | Seed 3/12/16 | S-Curve |
1 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1 | 22 | 29-4 | 17-0 | 7-3 | 5-1 | 15-3 | 5-0 | 20-3 | 6-1 | 26-4 | 3-0 | Y | 1 | 1 |
2 | Oregon | Pac 12 | 5 | 17 | 26-6 | 17-0 | 6-5 | 3-1 | 9-3 | 10-1 | 19-4 | 2-2 | 21-6 | 5-0 | Y | 1 | 2 |
4 | Villanova | Big East | 15 | 15 | 29-5 | 15-1 | 10-2 | 4-2 | 7-5 | 6-0 | 13-5 | 8-0 | 21-5 | 8-0 | 1 | 4 | |
5 | North Carolina | ACC | 21 | 58 | 28-6 | 15-1 | 6-5 | 7-0 | 5-5 | 10-1 | 15-6 | 8-0 | 23-6 | 5-0 | Y | 1 | 3 |
6 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 12 | 95 | 25-7 | 14-1 | 7-5 | 4-1 | 10-6 | 3-1 | 13-7 | 9-0 | 22-7 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | |
7 | Utah | Pac 12 | 10 | 21 | 25-7 | 15-1 | 5-5 | 5-1 | 9-6 | 9-1 | 18-7 | 1-0 | 19-7 | 6-0 | 2 | 8 | |
8 | Xavier | Big East | 32 | 90 | 27-5 | 15-1 | 8-3 | 4-1 | 6-3 | 5-0 | 11-3 | 10-2 | 21-5 | 6-0 | 2 | 7 | |
11 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 56 | 129 | 28-5 | 14-2 | 7-3 | 7-0 | 7-4 | 5-0 | 12-4 | 8-1 | 20-5 | 8-0 | Y | 2 | 6 |
3 | Virginia | ACC | 2 | 18 | 26-7 | 15-0 | 5-6 | 6-1 | 9-3 | 7-4 | 16-7 | 7-0 | 23-7 | 3-0 | 3 | 9 | |
9 | Miami (FL) | ACC | 16 | 84 | 25-7 | 15-1 | 6-5 | 4-1 | 7-3 | 9-1 | 16-4 | 5-3 | 21-7 | 4-0 | 3 | 10 | |
10 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 14 | 113 | 26-8 | 13-2 | 7-4 | 6-2 | 9-7 | 4-1 | 13-8 | 8-0 | 21-8 | 5-0 | 3 | 11 | |
12 | Kentucky | SEC | 27 | 13 | 25-8 | 17-0 | 4-7 | 4-1 | 2-2 | 12-3 | 14-5 | 7-3 | 21-8 | 4-0 | Y | 3 | 12 |
14 | Purdue | Big Ten | 45 | 118 | 26-7 | 17-1 | 5-5 | 4-1 | 4-4 | 6-2 | 10-6 | 11-1 | 21-7 | 5-0 | 4 | 15 | |
15 | Maryland | Big Ten | 33 | 116 | 24-8 | 15-1 | 4-6 | 5-1 | 5-6 | 3-1 | 8-7 | 10-0 | 18-7 | 6-1 | 4 | 13 | |
18 | Texas A&M | SEC | 57 | 44 | 26-7 | 17-1 | 5-5 | 4-1 | 5-0 | 9-6 | 14-6 | 6-1 | 20-7 | 6-0 | 4 | 14 | |
20 | Duke | ACC | 7 | 7 | 23-10 | 15-3 | 5-4 | 3-3 | 6-7 | 6-2 | 12-9 | 8-1 | 20-10 | 3-0 | 4 | 16 | |
16 | California | Pac 12 | 13 | 83 | 23-10 | 18-0 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 7-1 | 14-9 | 4-1 | 18-10 | 5-0 | 5 | 17 | |
19 | Seton Hall | Big East | 41 | 229 | 25-8 | 13-3 | 7-4 | 5-1 | 6-3 | 2-4 | 8-7 | 7-1 | 15-8 | 10-0 | Y | 5 | 18 |
24 | Indiana | Big Ten | 86 | 192 | 25-7 | 17-0 | 6-4 | 2-3 | 6-3 | 3-1 | 9-4 | 8-3 | 17-7 | 8-0 | 5 | 19 | |
25 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4 | 65 | 21-11 | 14-5 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 5-11 | 5-0 | 10-11 | 6-0 | 16-11 | 5-0 | 5 | 20 | |
22 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 8 | 64 | 21-11 | 14-2 | 4-7 | 3-2 | 8-10 | 4-1 | 12-11 | 6-0 | 18-11 | 3-0 | 6 | 21 | |
26 | Arizona | Pac 12 | 69 | 232 | 25-8 | 17-1 | 5-5 | 3-2 | 4-6 | 9-1 | 13-7 | 4-1 | 17-8 | 8-0 | 6 | 24 | |
27 | Texas | Big 12 | 3 | 19 | 20-12 | 14-3 | 5-5 | 1-4 | 7-9 | 6-2 | 13-11 | 4-1 | 17-12 | 3-0 | 6 | 22 | |
32 | Notre Dame | ACC | 26 | 74 | 21-11 | 14-2 | 5-5 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 3-6 | 8-11 | 6-0 | 14-11 | 7-0 | 6 | 23 | |
21 | Dayton | Atlantic 10 | 48 | 9 | 25-7 | 14-3 | 8-2 | 3-2 | 3-5 | 6-0 | 9-5 | 12-1 | 21-6 | 4-1 | 7 | 26 | |
23 | Saint Joseph's | Atlantic 10 | 58 | 70 | 26-7 | 12-4 | 9-2 | 5-1 | 3-4 | 5-2 | 8-6 | 11-1 | 19-7 | 7-0 | Y | 7 | 27 |
29 | Iowa | Big Ten | 34 | 117 | 21-10 | 13-2 | 6-5 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 3-1 | 8-8 | 6-2 | 14-10 | 7-0 | 7 | 25 | |
34 | Colorado | Pac 12 | 38 | 133 | 21-11 | 15-1 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 4-8 | 5-2 | 9-10 | 5-1 | 14-11 | 7-0 | 7 | 28 | |
31 | Virginia Commonwealth | Atlantic 10 | 70 | 57 | 24-9 | 15-2 | 7-4 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 6-3 | 8-7 | 10-2 | 18-9 | 6-0 | 8 | 30 | |
35 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 9 | 29 | 19-12 | 14-3 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 6-9 | 2-1 | 8-10 | 8-2 | 16-12 | 3-0 | 8 | 29 | |
39 | Providence | Big East | 49 | 215 | 23-10 | 13-4 | 7-4 | 3-2 | 2-7 | 4-0 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 14-9 | 9-1 | 8 | 31 | |
41 | Connecticut | American Athletic | 53 | 107 | 23-10 | 14-3 | 6-4 | 3-3 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 8-10 | 5-0 | 13-10 | 10-0 | Y | 8 | 32 |
33 | Oregon State | Pac 12 | 11 | 59 | 18-12 | 13-3 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 4-8 | 7-3 | 11-11 | 2-1 | 13-12 | 5-0 | 9 | 34 | |
42 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 17 | 36 | 20-12 | 13-5 | 6-5 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 6-0 | 11-6 | 5-5 | 16-11 | 4-1 | 9 | 33 | |
48 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 68 | 144 | 22-10 | 14-3 | 6-6 | 2-1 | 4-4 | 3-5 | 7-9 | 3-1 | 10-10 | 12-0 | 9 | 36 | |
51 | USC | Pac 12 | 30 | 88 | 21-12 | 16-2 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 9-12 | 5-0 | 14-12 | 7-0 | 9 | 35 | |
30 | Saint Bonaventure | Atlantic 10 | 81 | 152 | 22-8 | 14-2 | 8-5 | 0-1 | 3-2 | 4-4 | 7-6 | 8-1 | 15-7 | 7-1 | 10 | 37 | |
47 | Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 103 | 12 | 23-8 | 13-1 | 9-3 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 4-7 | 8-1 | 12-8 | 11-0 | 10 | 38 | |
52 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 29 | 190 | 20-11 | 14-4 | 3-6 | 3-1 | 2-7 | 7-2 | 9-9 | 6-2 | 15-11 | 5-0 | 10 | 39 | |
56 | Butler | Big East | 75 | 243 | 21-10 | 13-3 | 5-5 | 3-2 | 4-8 | 1-0 | 5-8 | 7-2 | 12-10 | 9-0 | 10 | 40 | |
44 | UNC Wilmington | Colonial Athletic | 131 | 305 | 23-7 | 10-2 | 8-5 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 10-4 | 14-6 | 9-1 | Y | 11 | 46 |
46 | Gonzaga | West Coast | 109 | 54 | 25-7 | 11-4 | 9-2 | 5-1 | 2-5 | 3-1 | 5-6 | 4-1 | 9-7 | 16-0 | Y | 11 | 41 |
37 | Saint Mary's College | West Coast | 148 | 169 | 26-5 | 17-1 | 7-3 | 2-1 | 2-2 | 4-1 | 6-3 | 2-2 | 8-5 | 18-0 | 11P | 44 | |
38 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 59 | 2 | 23-9 | 11-4 | 9-2 | 3-3 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3-7 | 15-1 | 18-8 | 5-1 | 11P | 45 | |
53 | Monmouth | MAAC | 165 | 100 | 27-7 | 10-1 | 13-4 | 4-2 | 1-1 | 4-3 | 5-4 | 6-0 | 11-4 | 16-3 | 11P | 42 | |
59 | Temple | American Athletic | 74 | 73 | 21-11 | 11-3 | 7-4 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 8-10 | 13-1 | 11P | 43 | |
28 | South Dakota State | The Summit League | 133 | 130 | 24-7 | 10-0 | 8-7 | 6-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 3-2 | 15-4 | 18-6 | 6-1 | Y | 12 | 47 |
43 | Yale | Ivy League | 163 | 149 | 21-6 | 11-0 | 9-6 | 1-0 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 7-2 | 8-6 | 13-0 | Y | 12 | 49 |
45 | Arkansas-Little Rock | Sun Belt | 240 | 278 | 26-4 | 12-0 | 12-4 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 3-2 | 8-0 | 11-2 | 15-2 | Y | 12 | 48 |
49 | Chattanooga | Southern | 204 | 153 | 27-5 | 11-1 | 11-4 | 5-0 | 1-1 | 4-1 | 5-2 | 10-2 | 15-4 | 12-1 | Y | 12 | 50 |
60 | Stony Brook | America East | 199 | 41 | 24-6 | 13-1 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 7-4 | 9-6 | 15-0 | Y | 13 | 51 |
61 | Stephen F. Austin | Southland | 235 | 122 | 23-5 | 10-0 | 9-4 | 4-1 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 5-0 | 8-4 | 15-1 | Y | 13 | 53 |
66 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 130 | 203 | 23-9 | 14-2 | 7-7 | 2-0 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 13-3 | 15-7 | 8-2 | Y | 13 | 52 |
70 | Northern Iowa | Missouri Valley | 92 | 38 | 21-12 | 10-3 | 6-8 | 5-1 | 4-1 | 4-2 | 8-3 | 5-6 | 13-9 | 8-3 | Y | 13 | 54 |
78 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 150 | 43 | 22-9 | 10-3 | 7-5 | 5-1 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 9-5 | 10-9 | 12-0 | Y | 14 | 55 |
79 | Iona | MAAC | 147 | 72 | 22-10 | 11-2 | 8-6 | 3-2 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 6-9 | 16-1 | Y | 14 | 56 |
88 | Hawaii | Big West | 243 | 258 | 24-5 | 15-3 | 7-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 6-2 | 6-4 | 3-0 | 9-4 | 15-1 | M | 14 | 57 |
91 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 87 | 78 | 19-14 | 9-5 | 5-9 | 5-0 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 2-9 | 10-4 | 12-13 | 7-1 | Y | 14 | 58 |
109 | Weber State | Big Sky | 289 | 141 | 23-8 | 10-1 | 7-6 | 6-1 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4-3 | 5-5 | 18-3 | Y | 15 | 61 |
113 | Green Bay | Horizon League | 205 | 237 | 21-12 | 9-3 | 8-9 | 4-0 | 2-3 | 0-3 | 2-6 | 7-5 | 9-11 | 12-1 | Y | 15 | 59 |
134 | Cal State Bakersfield | Western Athletic | 317 | 267 | 20-8 | 11-1 | 7-7 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 3-8 | 17-0 | Y | 15 | 62 |
138 | UNC Asheville | Big South | 233 | 123 | 20-11 | 9-3 | 6-7 | 5-1 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5-9 | 6-11 | 14-0 | Y | 15 | 60 |
155 | Hampton | MEAC | 322 | 85 | 20-10 | 8-2 | 8-7 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-6 | 19-4 | Y | 16 | 63 |
186 | Southern | SWAC | 336 | 191 | 19-12 | 9-1 | 6-10 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4-6 | 15-6 | Y | 16 | 64 |
189 | Austin Peay | Ohio Valley | 200 | 132 | 16-17 | 5-7 | 7-9 | 4-1 | 0-1 | 1-6 | 1-7 | 4-5 | 5-12 | 11-5 | Y | 16P | 67 |
204 | Fairleigh Dickinson | Northeast | 297 | 171 | 17-14 | 8-6 | 9-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 3-2 | 3-5 | 14-9 | Y | 16P | 65 |
208 | Florida Gulf Coast | Atlantic Sun | 278 | 135 | 16-13 | 12-4 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 3-7 | 13-6 | Y | 16P | 66 |
248 | Holy Cross | Patriot League | 287 | 297 | 14-19 | 8-6 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 4-9 | 10-10 | Y | 16P | 68 |
50 | Valparaiso | Horizon League | 161 | 50 | 24-6 | 12-1 | 12-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3-1 | 4-2 | 10-4 | 14-6 | 10-0 | F4O | ||
54 | Hofstra | Colonial Athletic | 107 | 150 | 23-9 | 10-2 | 9-4 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 4-3 | 6-5 | 7-4 | 13-9 | 10-0 | F4O | ||
57 | Michigan | Big Ten | 44 | 189 | 21-12 | 12-4 | 4-6 | 5-2 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 4-12 | 8-0 | 12-12 | 9-0 | F4O | ||
65 | South Carolina | SEC | 125 | 269 | 23-8 | 14-2 | 5-5 | 4-1 | 1-1 | 7-4 | 8-5 | 8-2 | 16-7 | 7-1 | F4O | ||
36 | Akron | Mid-American | 122 | 207 | 25-8 | 14-0 | 6-7 | 5-1 | 0-1 | 6-1 | 6-2 | 9-6 | 15-8 | 10-0 | X | N4O | |
55 | Florida | SEC | 18 | 5 | 19-14 | 12-4 | 4-8 | 3-2 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 7-13 | 7-1 | 14-14 | 5-0 | N4O | ||
58 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 63 | 105 | 20-11 | 12-3 | 6-6 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 4-3 | 8-8 | 2-3 | 10-11 | 10-0 | N4O | ||
62 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 37 | 24 | 19-13 | 14-2 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 2-7 | 5-3 | 7-10 | 8-3 | 15-13 | 4-0 | N4O |