So here we are again- 8 days from Selection Sunday. Looking at the current landscape, I see 13 spots available.
One Bid Leagues (14):
America East |
Atlantic Sun- BELMONT |
Big Sky |
Big South- NC ASHEVILLE |
Horizon |
MEAC |
Northeast |
Patriot League |
Southland |
Sun Belt |
SWAC |
Southern |
MAC |
Ohio Valley- MURRAY ST |
Locks/Near locks (>=85%)
Baylor | 100% |
Duke | 100% |
Florida | 100% |
Florida State | 100% |
Georgetown | 100% |
Gonzaga | 100% |
Indiana | 100% |
Kansas | 100% |
Kentucky | 100% |
Louisville | 100% |
Marquette | 100% |
Michigan | 100% |
Michigan State | 100% |
Missouri | 100% |
North Carolina | 100% |
Ohio State | 100% |
Syracuse | 100% |
Temple | 100% |
UNLV | 100% |
Wichita State | 100% |
Wisconsin | 100% |
San Diego State | 100% |
Creighton | 100% |
New Mexico | 100% |
Vanderbilt | 100% |
Saint Mary's College | 100% |
Iowa State | 100% |
Saint Louis | 95% |
Notre Dame | 95% |
Memphis | 95% |
Kansas State | 90% |
Purdue | 85% |
Probably in, barring collapse (3):
Alabama | 80% |
Southern Miss | 75% |
Potential bid stealers (6):
Harvard | 75% |
Iona | 50% |
Long Beach State | 40% |
Drexel | 40% |
Oral Roberts | 40% |
Nevada | 20% |
Bubble with my current odds (13 spots available):
California | 65% |
Cincinnati | 65% |
South Florida | 50% |
Connecticut | 50% |
West Virginia | 50% |
BYU | 50% |
Miami | 35% |
Virginia Commonwealth | 35% |
Oregon | 35% |
Colorado State | 35% |
Northwestern | 35% |
Mississippi State | 30% |
Washington | 30% |
Xavier | 30% |
Saint Joseph's | 30% |
Arizona | 30% |
North Carolina State | 25% |
Seton Hall | 20% |
Texas | 20% |
Dayton | 10% |
UCF | 10% |
South Dakota State | 10% |